{"id":1042,"date":"2022-07-20T09:40:15","date_gmt":"2022-07-20T13:40:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/a-deeper-dive-into-gbtas-u-s-business-travel-forecast\/"},"modified":"2022-08-11T11:33:20","modified_gmt":"2022-08-11T15:33:20","slug":"a-deeper-dive-into-gbtas-u-s-business-travel-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/a-deeper-dive-into-gbtas-u-s-business-travel-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Une plong\u00e9e plus profonde dans les pr\u00e9visions de voyages d'affaires aux \u00c9tats-Unis de GBTA"},"content":{"rendered":"

La semaine derni\u00e8re, la Fondation GBTA a publi\u00e9 nos derni\u00e8res perspectives trimestrielles sur les voyages d'affaires aux \u00c9tats-Unis<\/a> projetant une croissance d'un peu plus de 3 % des d\u00e9penses de voyages d'affaires pour 2016 et 2017. Voici trois questions cl\u00e9s que nous avons entendues au sujet des pr\u00e9visions.<\/p>\n

\"BTI_q42015_chart\"<\/p>\n

Les tarifs a\u00e9riens vont-ils baisser en 2016 ?<\/strong><\/p>\n

En 2015, la croissance des prix a \u00e9t\u00e9 la plus faible que nous ayons connue depuis la Grande R\u00e9cession. Un dollar plus fort et la chute des prix du p\u00e9trole ont limit\u00e9 les hausses de prix dans l'ensemble du secteur des voyages. Cependant, nos pr\u00e9visions de croissance des prix en 2016 montrent que les prix des h\u00f4tels, de la nourriture et des boissons et du transport terrestre connaissent tous un rebond significatif, tandis que les tarifs a\u00e9riens continuent de baisser.<\/p>\n

\"ExpectedPriceChanges2016\"<\/p>\n

Il est important de noter qu'il ne s'agit que du tarif de base. Une fois que vous avez pris en compte les frais, le co\u00fbt total des billets d'avion sera probablement encore plus \u00e9lev\u00e9, car les revenus accessoires ont augment\u00e9. Depuis 2010, les revenus auxiliaires des compagnies a\u00e9riennes am\u00e9ricaines \u2013 uniquement pour les bagages enregistr\u00e9s et les frais de modification \u2013 sont pass\u00e9s de $5,6 milliards par an \u00e0 $6,5 milliards en 2014, selon les donn\u00e9es du minist\u00e8re des Transports. Il est d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e0 $5,1 milliards pour les trois premiers trimestres 2015, il ne semble donc pas ralentir.<\/p>\n

Comment se d\u00e9roulent les voyages de groupe ?<\/strong><\/p>\n

En 2015, les voyages de groupe ont surperform\u00e9 les voyages individuels. Les d\u00e9penses moyennes en voyages de groupe ont toutefois l\u00e9g\u00e8rement diminu\u00e9, passant de $700 en 2014 \u00e0 $694 en 2015 par voyage d'affaires en groupe. La croissance du volume s'acc\u00e9l\u00e9rera au cours des deux prochaines ann\u00e9es, de l'ordre de 3 %, mais la croissance des d\u00e9penses restera limit\u00e9e pour les voyages d'affaires en groupe jusqu'en 2016 avant de se rel\u00e2cher en 2017.<\/p>\n

\"BTI_q42015_group\"<\/p>\n

Quel est l'impact de l'\u00e9conomie mondiale sur les voyages internationaux \u00e0 l'\u00e9tranger\u00a0?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Les voyages d'affaires internationaux \u00e0 l'\u00e9tranger (IOB) continuent de faire face \u00e0 des vents contraires en raison de la faiblesse des fondamentaux macro\u00e9conomiques mondiaux. La faible confiance des consommateurs et des entreprises freine la croissance \u00e9conomique mondiale. Des performances \u00e0 la tra\u00eene et une incertitude accrue en Asie-Pacifique, en Am\u00e9rique latine, au Moyen-Orient et en Afrique ont \u00e9galement nui \u00e0 la croissance mondiale. Ces vents contraires continueront probablement de d\u00e9fier les performances de voyage de l'IOB alors que nous entrons en 2016 et 2017.<\/p>\n

Le volume total de voyages de l'IOB devrait augmenter de 1,9 % en 2016, suivi de 2,3 % en 2017, se rapprochant de 8 millions de voyages. Les d\u00e9penses totales pour ces voyages devraient augmenter de 2,8 % cette ann\u00e9e et de 3,4 % suppl\u00e9mentaires en 2017, \u00e9clipsant $38 milliards.<\/p>\n

\"BTI_q42015_IOB\"<\/p>\n

Le raffermissement du dollar se traduit par des voyages \u00e0 l'\u00e9tranger relativement moins chers pour les entreprises am\u00e9ricaines, ce qui a pour effet de r\u00e9duire les d\u00e9penses globales. La vigueur du dollar am\u00e9ricain a toutefois l'effet inverse sur le volume, car la baisse des co\u00fbts des voyages \u00e0 l'\u00e9tranger se traduit par un retour sur investissement plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 pour les entreprises am\u00e9ricaines qui envoient des travailleurs \u00e0 l'\u00e9tranger. Bien qu'il y ait une certaine pression concurrentielle \u00e0 la baisse de la part de ces m\u00eames entreprises, car elles connaissent probablement une croissance plus faible du chiffre d'affaires de leurs op\u00e9rations \u00e0 l'\u00e9tranger, l'impact net d'un dollar plus fort est une meilleure performance du volume IOB. N\u00e9anmoins, nous pr\u00e9voyons que les vents contraires \u00e9conomiques persisteront au cours des deux prochaines ann\u00e9es, alors que la croissance des march\u00e9s \u00e9mergents peine \u00e0 reprendre pied et que l'incertitude \u00e9conomique continue de peser sur les acheteurs de voyages mondiaux.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La semaine derni\u00e8re, la Fondation GBTA a publi\u00e9 ses derni\u00e8res perspectives trimestrielles sur les voyages d'affaires aux \u00c9tats-Unis, qui pr\u00e9voient une croissance d'un peu plus de 3 % des d\u00e9penses de voyages d'affaires pour 2016 et 2017. Voici trois questions cl\u00e9s que nous avons entendues \u00e0 propos des pr\u00e9visions. Les tarifs a\u00e9riens vont-ils baisser en 2016 ? En 2015, la croissance des prix a \u00e9t\u00e9 la plus faible que nous ayons connue depuis le Grand\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":1043,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","_kad_blocks_custom_css":"","_kad_blocks_head_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_body_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_footer_custom_js":"","_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[247,114,78,37],"tags":[399,93,48,103,95,613,564,363,257,614],"class_list":["post-1042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-accommodations","category-airlines-and-aviation","category-ground-transportation","category-research-and-travel-trends","tag-airfares","tag-bti","tag-business-travel","tag-economy","tag-forecast","tag-group-meetings","tag-group-travel","tag-international-travel","tag-outlook","tag-rates"],"acf":[],"featured_image_src_large":["https:\/\/gbta.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/BTI_q42015_IOB-1024x510.png",1024,510,true],"author_info":{"display_name":"jcampbell","author_link":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/author\/jcampbell\/"},"comment_info":"","category_info":[{"term_id":247,"name":"Accommodations","slug":"accommodations","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":247,"taxonomy":"category","description":"","parent":0,"count":214,"filter":"raw","cat_ID":247,"category_count":214,"category_description":"","cat_name":"Accommodations","category_nicename":"accommodations","category_parent":0},{"term_id":114,"name":"Airlines 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