{"id":1122,"date":"2022-07-20T09:41:54","date_gmt":"2022-07-20T13:41:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/an-olympian-economic-recovery-for-brazil\/"},"modified":"2022-08-11T11:33:26","modified_gmt":"2022-08-11T15:33:26","slug":"an-olympian-economic-recovery-for-brazil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/an-olympian-economic-recovery-for-brazil\/","title":{"rendered":"Une reprise \u00e9conomique olympienne pour le Br\u00e9sil ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Avec le Memorial Day, le d\u00e9but officieux de l&#039;\u00e9t\u00e9, qui approche \u00e0 grands pas, tous les regards seront tourn\u00e9s vers le sud, vers le Br\u00e9sil et les Jeux Olympiques. Alors que tout le monde esp\u00e8re que les Jeux seront un succ\u00e8s pour le pays h\u00f4te, l&#039;\u00e9conomie br\u00e9silienne et l&#039;industrie du voyage d&#039;affaires ont r\u00e9cemment connu une crise proverbiale, et les pr\u00e9visions restent nettement pessimistes \u00e0 court terme. C\u2019est l\u2019une des principales conclusions du <em>Perspectives GBTA BTI\u2122 \u2013 Br\u00e9sil 2016 S1<\/em> rapport qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/foundation\/pressreleases\/Pages\/rls052416.aspx\/?Source=http:\/\/www.gbta.org\/lists\/news\/Allitems_all.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">publi\u00e9 aujourd&#039;hui <\/a>et sponsoris\u00e9 par Visa, Inc.<\/p>\n<p>Le nouveau rapport d\u00e9grade les voyages d&#039;affaires au Br\u00e9sil pour la quatri\u00e8me fois cons\u00e9cutive, les d\u00e9penses totales des entreprises au Br\u00e9sil devant diminuer de 8,5 % cette ann\u00e9e. M\u00eame si les derni\u00e8res pr\u00e9visions citent de multiples facteurs qui affectent n\u00e9gativement les voyages d&#039;affaires \u00e0 travers le pays, il existe \u00e9galement un optimisme prudent selon lequel 2016 sera le point le plus bas des voyages d&#039;affaires avant une modeste reprise en 2017.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c0 l&#039;approche des Jeux, le Br\u00e9sil est confront\u00e9 \u00e0 une p\u00e9riode de r\u00e9cession int\u00e9rieure, de croissance mondiale lente, de baisse des prix des mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, d&#039;infrastructures sous-d\u00e9velopp\u00e9es et de nombreux autres probl\u00e8mes affectant l&#039;\u00e9conomie br\u00e9silienne. Le climat des voyages d\u2019affaires ressent \u00e9galement toutes ces pressions \u2013 le seul signe d\u2019optimisme \u00e9tant que 2016 sera le point bas de l\u2019\u00e9conomie br\u00e9silienne avant que le pays ne connaisse une l\u00e9g\u00e8re reprise.<\/p>\n<p>Les perspectives \u00e9conomiques du Br\u00e9sil continuent de se d\u00e9t\u00e9riorer alors que le pays tente de r\u00e9sister \u00e0 la temp\u00eate parfaite de la chute libre de l&#039;activit\u00e9 int\u00e9rieure, de la faible croissance mondiale, de l&#039;inflation \u00e9lev\u00e9e, de la d\u00e9t\u00e9rioration des conditions budg\u00e9taires et d&#039;un climat politique incertain \u2013 le tout \u00e0 l&#039;approche du d\u00e9but des Jeux olympiques d\u00e9but ao\u00fbt. Le PIB du quatri\u00e8me trimestre a produit le pire r\u00e9sultat annuel depuis 1991. Malgr\u00e9 tous ses d\u00e9fis, le Br\u00e9sil reste dans le top dix des march\u00e9s mondiaux des voyages d&#039;affaires, m\u00eame s&#039;il n&#039;y restera peut-\u00eatre pas tr\u00e8s longtemps.<\/p>\n<p>Quelques autres conclusions cl\u00e9s du <em>Perspectives GBTA BTI\u2122 \u2013 Br\u00e9sil 2016 S1<\/em> comprendre:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Le PIB br\u00e9silien devrait diminuer de -3,0 pour cent cette ann\u00e9e, suivi d&#039;une augmentation an\u00e9mique de 1,3 pour cent en 2017.<\/li>\n<li>Les voyages d&#039;affaires int\u00e9rieurs au Br\u00e9sil continuent d&#039;\u00eatre les plus durement touch\u00e9s par la r\u00e9cession br\u00e9silienne. La r\u00e9cession a \u00e9t\u00e9 ponctu\u00e9e par de r\u00e9cents troubles politiques. En outre, des infrastructures d\u00e9faillantes, des niveaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s de dette publique et une lourde charge fiscale assombrissent les perspectives \u00e0 long terme des voyages d\u2019affaires int\u00e9rieurs au Br\u00e9sil.<\/li>\n<li>L&#039;\u00e9conomie br\u00e9silienne continue \u00e9galement de souffrir de probl\u00e8mes \u00e0 plus long terme, notamment des niveaux extr\u00eamement \u00e9lev\u00e9s de dette publique et de bureaucratie, une structure fiscale trop lourde et des infrastructures m\u00e9diocres qui ont conduit \u00e0 des probl\u00e8mes de comp\u00e9titivit\u00e9.<\/li>\n<li>Le Br\u00e9sil continue de se classer au dernier rang des 15 principaux march\u00e9s de voyages d&#039;affaires en termes de qualit\u00e9 de l&#039;infrastructure globale.<\/li>\n<li>Compte tenu des d\u00e9fis \u00e9conomiques et politiques du pays, la confiance des entreprises est \u00e0 un niveau historiquement bas. L&#039;indice de confiance des entreprises publi\u00e9 par la Confederacao Nacional da Industria (CNI) s&#039;est \u00e9tabli \u00e0 36,2 en avril, un signe clair du pessimisme des entreprises (50 repr\u00e9sente la neutralit\u00e9).<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>En termes de voyages d&#039;affaires au Br\u00e9sil, les d\u00e9penses li\u00e9es aux voyages d&#039;affaires en provenance du Br\u00e9sil ont totalis\u00e9 $30,5 milliards de dollars en 2015, en baisse de 4,1 % par rapport aux niveaux de 2014. Cette pr\u00e9vision \u00e0 la baisse co\u00efncide avec la plong\u00e9e du Br\u00e9sil dans la r\u00e9cession, l&#039;\u00e9conomie s&#039;\u00e9tant contract\u00e9e de -3,8 % l&#039;ann\u00e9e derni\u00e8re \u2013 sa plus forte contraction en 25 ans.<\/p>\n<p>Bien que ces chiffres dressent un tableau pessimiste de l&#039;\u00e9tat de l&#039;\u00e9conomie br\u00e9silienne en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral et des voyages d&#039;affaires en particulier, les retomb\u00e9es de la situation politique actuelle, une hausse des prix des mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res et\/ou des Jeux olympiques d&#039;\u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9ussis pourraient aider les pr\u00e9visions \u00e0 s&#039;am\u00e9liorer, bien que ces facteurs soient tous restent inconnus \u00e0 ce stade. M\u00eame si le Br\u00e9sil organise des Jeux olympiques r\u00e9ussis, le dernier rapport du BTI indique que les Jeux olympiques n&#039;auront que peu ou pas d&#039;effet sur les pr\u00e9visions de voyages d&#039;affaires, car les voyageurs d&#039;affaires reprogrammeront probablement leurs voyages pour ne pas \u00eatre rattrap\u00e9s par les jeux. Cependant, les am\u00e9liorations \u00e9conomiques et infrastructurelles que les Jeux pourraient g\u00e9n\u00e9rer pour le Br\u00e9sil signifient que les voyages d&#039;affaires \u00e0 travers le pays seront beaucoup plus attractifs dans un avenir proche.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Avec le Memorial Day, le d\u00e9but officieux de l&#039;\u00e9t\u00e9, qui approche \u00e0 grands pas, tous les regards se tourneront vers le sud vers le Br\u00e9sil et les Jeux Olympiques. Alors que tout le monde esp\u00e8re que les jeux seront un succ\u00e8s pour le pays h\u00f4te, l&#039;\u00e9conomie et l&#039;industrie du voyage d&#039;affaires du Br\u00e9sil ont toutes deux travers\u00e9 la proverbiale sonnerie r\u00e9cemment, et les pr\u00e9visions restent nettement\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":1041,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","_kad_blocks_custom_css":"","_kad_blocks_head_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_body_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_footer_custom_js":"","_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[189,48,103,95,165,711,712],"class_list":["post-1122","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-research-and-travel-trends","tag-brazil","tag-business-travel","tag-economy","tag-forecast","tag-gbta-foundation","tag-olympics","tag-political-turmoil"],"acf":[],"featured_image_src_large":["https:\/\/gbta.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/ForecastCharts-1024x682.jpg",1024,682,true],"author_info":{"display_name":"jcampbell","author_link":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/author\/jcampbell\/"},"comment_info":"","category_info":[{"term_id":37,"name":"Research 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