{"id":1172,"date":"2022-07-20T09:44:34","date_gmt":"2022-07-20T13:44:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/the-gbta-crystal-ball-what-will-the-next-five-years-of-business-travel-look-like\/"},"modified":"2022-08-11T11:33:31","modified_gmt":"2022-08-11T15:33:31","slug":"the-gbta-crystal-ball-what-will-the-next-five-years-of-business-travel-look-like","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/the-gbta-crystal-ball-what-will-the-next-five-years-of-business-travel-look-like\/","title":{"rendered":"La boule de cristal GBTA\u00a0: \u00e0 quoi ressembleront les cinq prochaines ann\u00e9es de voyages d&#039;affaires\u00a0?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bien qu&#039;il soit difficile de pr\u00e9dire l&#039;avenir avec certitude, GBTA fait certainement un bon travail de pr\u00e9vision des tendances qui affectent l&#039;avenir des voyages d&#039;affaires. La Fondation GBTA r\u00e9cemment publi\u00e9e<em> <a href=\"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/foundation\/pressreleases\/Pages\/rls_0711162.aspx\/?Source=http:\/\/www.gbta.org\/lists\/news\/Allitems_all.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Perspectives mondiales du BTI \u2013 Rapport mondial annuel et pr\u00e9visions<\/a> <\/em>sponsoris\u00e9 par Visa vise \u00e0 faire exactement cela. Dans un horizon de cinq ans, le rapport conclut que les voyages d&#039;affaires poursuivront leur rythme de croissance lente et r\u00e9guli\u00e8re tout en \u00e9tant limit\u00e9s par les facteurs \u00e9conomiques mondiaux. Seul le temps nous dira si les pr\u00e9visions les plus r\u00e9centes se maintiennent, mais si les performances pass\u00e9es sont un indicateur, l&#039;avenir des voyages d&#039;affaires suivra probablement de tr\u00e8s pr\u00e8s les conclusions du rapport.<\/p>\n<p>Les d\u00e9penses mondiales en voyages d&#039;affaires ont d\u00e9pass\u00e9 $1,2 billion USD en 2015, en croissance de 5 % par rapport \u00e0 2014, et devraient atteindre 1,3 billion en 2016 tout en continuant \u00e0 progresser de 5,8 % en moyenne au cours des cinq prochaines ann\u00e9es pour atteindre $1,6 billion en 2020.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-2114\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.gbta.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/2016-Global-BTI-Next-5-Years-Post-1024x541.png\" alt=\"2016 Global BTI Next 5 Years Post\" width=\"1024\" height=\"541\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Les perspectives de l&#039;\u00e9conomie mondiale se sont am\u00e9lior\u00e9es au d\u00e9but de 2016. La volatilit\u00e9 des march\u00e9s financiers et ses effets sur la confiance et l&#039;aversion au risque se sont largement att\u00e9nu\u00e9s. Pendant ce temps, les r\u00e9centes performances r\u00e9guli\u00e8res de la Chine ont \u00e9galement calm\u00e9 la nervosit\u00e9. De plus, une politique mon\u00e9taire saine, des strat\u00e9gies de relance budg\u00e9taire et de fortes d\u00e9penses de consommation ont tous contribu\u00e9 \u00e0 att\u00e9nuer l&#039;anxi\u00e9t\u00e9 sur le march\u00e9 mondial et \u00e0 favoriser le mod\u00e8le de croissance lente et r\u00e9guli\u00e8re actuel que conna\u00eet le march\u00e9 mondial des voyages d&#039;affaires.<\/p>\n<p>Le potentiel de croissance \u00e0 la hausse reste toutefois limit\u00e9, tant pour l&#039;\u00e9conomie mondiale que pour les voyages d&#039;affaires mondiaux. Les fragilit\u00e9s qui ont pes\u00e9 sur les performances mondiales depuis le d\u00e9but de la derni\u00e8re reprise ne se sont pas compl\u00e8tement dissip\u00e9es, pas plus que l&#039;inqui\u00e9tude suscit\u00e9e par la \u00abnouvelle normalit\u00e9\u00bb des taux d&#039;int\u00e9r\u00eat bas et de la faible cr\u00e9ation d&#039;emplois qui a caract\u00e9ris\u00e9 la r\u00e9cente reprise. De plus, la dette \u2013 tant publique que personnelle \u2013 est toujours \u00e9lev\u00e9e, le commerce reste faible et les d\u00e9fis g\u00e9opolitiques abondent. L&#039;in\u00e9galit\u00e9 des revenus constitue toujours un d\u00e9fi pour la poursuite des progr\u00e8s du niveau de vie et des d\u00e9penses de consommation. De plus, le rythme du march\u00e9 du travail et d&#039;autres r\u00e9formes s&#039;est ralenti au cours de l&#039;ann\u00e9e \u00e9coul\u00e9e. Enfin, la vigueur de l&#039;\u00e9conomie mondiale continuera d&#039;\u00eatre fa\u00e7onn\u00e9e par les march\u00e9s financiers, d\u00e9sormais plus int\u00e9gr\u00e9s et confront\u00e9s \u00e0 une grande vari\u00e9t\u00e9 de risques potentiels dans un contexte de croissance plus an\u00e9mique.<\/p>\n<p>Tout cela signifie que la tendance r\u00e9cente \u00e0 une croissance lente et r\u00e9guli\u00e8re se poursuivra \u00e0 la fois pour l&#039;\u00e9conomie mondiale en g\u00e9n\u00e9ral et pour les voyages d&#039;affaires mondiaux en particulier. Comme c&#039;est souvent le cas, les voyages d&#039;affaires mondiaux seront un moteur dans de nombreuses \u00e9conomies et conna\u00eetront des niveaux de croissance plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s que l&#039;\u00e9conomie dans son ensemble. En regardant dans la proverbiale boule de cristal, il est plus que probable que les cinq prochaines ann\u00e9es ressembleront beaucoup \u00e0 cette ann\u00e9e en ce qui concerne la croissance mondiale et industrielle.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bien qu&#039;il soit difficile de pr\u00e9dire l&#039;avenir avec certitude, GBTA fait certainement un bon travail de pr\u00e9vision des tendances qui affectent l&#039;avenir des voyages d&#039;affaires. C&#039;est exactement ce que vise la publication r\u00e9cente de la GBTA Foundation Global BTI Outlook - Annual Global Report and Forecast sponsoris\u00e9e par Visa. Dans cinq ans, le rapport conclut\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":1093,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","_kad_blocks_custom_css":"","_kad_blocks_head_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_body_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_footer_custom_js":"","_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[93,94,48,133,103,95,760],"class_list":["post-1172","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-research-and-travel-trends","tag-bti","tag-bti-outlook","tag-business-travel","tag-business-travel-industry","tag-economy","tag-forecast","tag-predictions"],"acf":[],"featured_image_src_large":["https:\/\/gbta.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/iPad-Charts-1024x682.jpg",1024,682,true],"author_info":{"display_name":"jcampbell","author_link":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/author\/jcampbell\/"},"comment_info":"","category_info":[{"term_id":37,"name":"Research 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