{"id":905,"date":"2022-07-20T09:37:56","date_gmt":"2022-07-20T13:37:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/business-travel-keeps-growing-but-erratic-economic-drivers-limit-growth\/"},"modified":"2022-08-11T11:33:08","modified_gmt":"2022-08-11T15:33:08","slug":"business-travel-keeps-growing-but-erratic-economic-drivers-limit-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/business-travel-keeps-growing-but-erratic-economic-drivers-limit-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"Les voyages d&#039;affaires continuent de cro\u00eetre, mais des moteurs \u00e9conomiques erratiques limitent la croissance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Plus t\u00f4t cette semaine, GBTA <a title=\"Lib\u00e9ration RTC\" href=\"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/PressReleases\/Pages\/rls_070715.aspx\/?Source=http:\/\/www.gbta.org\/lists\/news\/Allitems_all.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a publi\u00e9 nos derni\u00e8res perspectives pour les voyages d&#039;affaires<\/a> aux Etats-Unis. Nos pr\u00e9visions montrent que les d\u00e9penses li\u00e9es aux voyages d&#039;affaires augmenteront de pr\u00e8s de 5 % en 2015 pour atteindre $302,7 milliards, mais les inqui\u00e9tudes persistantes concernant l&#039;\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine freinent ce qui pourrait \u00eatre une croissance encore plus forte.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blog.gbta.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/USBTI_2015Q2pic1.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-medium wp-image-1003\" src=\"http:\/\/blog.gbta.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/07\/USBTI_2015Q2pic1-300x207.jpg\" alt=\"USBTI_2015Q2pic1\" width=\"300\" height=\"207\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Les voyages d\u2019affaires \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle mondiale sont \u00e0 la fois le moteur et le moteur de l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique. L\u2019\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine continue de progresser, mais la croissance reste volatile. La croissance du PIB au premier trimestre de 2015 en est un bon exemple, ayant diminu\u00e9 de -0,7 pour cent, contre +5 pour cent seulement deux trimestres auparavant. Le PIB r\u00e9el a \u00e9galement diminu\u00e9 au premier trimestre 2014 en raison des conditions hivernales rigoureuses. Il a ensuite proc\u00e9d\u00e9 \u00e0 un retour rapide. De nombreux analystes s\u2019attendent \u00e0 la m\u00eame chose cette ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>Les chiffres de l&#039;emploi en mai et juin ont \u00e9t\u00e9 tr\u00e8s bons apr\u00e8s un mois de mars tr\u00e8s d\u00e9cevant \u2013 en raison, une fois de plus, des conditions m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques extr\u00eames. <strong>C&#039;est devenu une sorte d&#039;\u00e9conomie de Jekyll et Hyde : un mois c&#039;est bien et le suivant, pas tellement.<\/strong> Cela rend la dynamique \u00e9conomique difficile \u00e0 maintenir et limite la confiance de ceux qui prennent les d\u00e9cisions en mati\u00e8re de d\u00e9penses.<\/p>\n<p>Des probl\u00e8mes tels que la crise \u00e9conomique en Gr\u00e8ce pourraient ne pas avoir d\u2019impact direct. Pour l\u2019instant, la crise semble contenue. Mais si la crise de la dette grecque se propage \u00e0 d\u2019autres pays europ\u00e9ens, provoquant un effet domino, nos donn\u00e9es indiquent qu\u2019elle pourrait tr\u00e8s bien entra\u00eener \u00e0 nouveau l\u2019Europe dans la r\u00e9cession, freiner la lenteur des progr\u00e8s r\u00e9alis\u00e9s ces derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es et accro\u00eetre le d\u00e9ficit d\u00e9j\u00e0 \u00e9lev\u00e9. taux de ch\u00f4mage.<\/p>\n<p>Les nombreux titres vantant la derni\u00e8re crise grecque incitent les entreprises \u00e0 prendre le temps d\u2019en consid\u00e9rer l\u2019impact potentiel. Nos \u00e9conomies mondiales sont si intrins\u00e8quement li\u00e9es dans le monde d\u2019aujourd\u2019hui qu\u2019il ne faut pas aussi longtemps pour qu\u2019un impact mondial se fasse sentir. M\u00eame si cela n\u2019incite personne \u00e0 ralentir les d\u00e9penses de son entreprise, ils ne d\u00e9pensent pas non plus davantage.<\/p>\n<p>Malgr\u00e9 les d\u00e9fis r\u00e9cents, les attentes de la GBTA concernant l&#039;\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine restent largement inchang\u00e9es par rapport aux pr\u00e9visions du dernier trimestre. <strong>La dynamique sous-jacente de la croissance de l\u2019emploi, des gains salariaux et du regain de confiance continuera de compenser la faiblesse de la croissance mondiale et le report des investissements p\u00e9troliers et gaziers.<\/strong> Les d\u00e9penses de consommation et le logement r\u00e9agissent d\u00e9j\u00e0 positivement \u00e0 la hausse du revenu disponible. En outre, la hausse progressive des prix du p\u00e9trole devrait contribuer \u00e0 relancer les projets d\u2019investissement \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques report\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<p>Sur le front des voyages d&#039;affaires, le volume des voyages devrait augmenter de 1 pour cent cette ann\u00e9e pour atteindre 488,1 millions de voyages-personnes et s&#039;acc\u00e9l\u00e9rera consid\u00e9rablement en 2016, de 3 pour cent. <strong>ajoutant en moyenne 40 000 d\u00e9placements professionnels suppl\u00e9mentaires chaque jour.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Dans l\u2019ensemble, les fondamentaux \u00e9conomiques restent solides. Les voyages d\u2019affaires continueront de conna\u00eetre une dynamique positive \u00e0 l\u2019approche de 2016, ce qui constitue un indicateur avanc\u00e9 de la poursuite de la croissance de l\u2019\u00e9conomie dans son ensemble.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plus t\u00f4t cette semaine, GBTA a publi\u00e9 ses derni\u00e8res perspectives pour les voyages d&#039;affaires aux \u00c9tats-Unis. Nos pr\u00e9visions montrent que les d\u00e9penses li\u00e9es aux voyages d&#039;affaires augmenteront de pr\u00e8s de 5 % en 2015 pour atteindre $302,7 milliards, mais les inqui\u00e9tudes persistantes concernant l&#039;\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine freinent ce qui pourrait \u00eatre une croissance encore plus forte. Les voyages d&#039;affaires mondiaux sont \u00e0 la fois moteurs et moteurs,\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"","_seopress_robots_index":"","om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","_kad_blocks_custom_css":"","_kad_blocks_head_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_body_custom_js":"","_kad_blocks_footer_custom_js":"","_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[48,103,95,49,165,257,179],"class_list":["post-905","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-research-and-travel-trends","tag-business-travel","tag-economy","tag-forecast","tag-gbta","tag-gbta-foundation","tag-outlook","tag-research"],"acf":[],"featured_image_src_large":false,"author_info":{"display_name":"jcampbell","author_link":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/author\/jcampbell\/"},"comment_info":"","category_info":[{"term_id":37,"name":"Research and Travel Trends","slug":"research-and-travel-trends","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":37,"taxonomy":"category","description":"","parent":0,"count":966,"filter":"raw","cat_ID":37,"category_count":966,"category_description":"","cat_name":"Research and Travel Trends","category_nicename":"research-and-travel-trends","category_parent":0}],"tag_info":[{"term_id":48,"name":"business travel","slug":"business-travel","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":48,"taxonomy":"post_tag","description":"","parent":0,"count":416,"filter":"raw"},{"term_id":103,"name":"economy","slug":"economy","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":103,"taxonomy":"post_tag","description":"","parent":0,"count":81,"filter":"raw"},{"term_id":95,"name":"forecast","slug":"forecast","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":95,"taxonomy":"post_tag","description":"","parent":0,"count":55,"filter":"raw"},{"term_id":49,"name":"GBTA","slug":"gbta","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":49,"taxonomy":"post_tag","description":"","parent":0,"count":260,"filter":"raw"},{"term_id":165,"name":"GBTA Foundation","slug":"gbta-foundation","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":165,"taxonomy":"post_tag","description":"","parent":0,"count":122,"filter":"raw"},{"term_id":257,"name":"outlook","slug":"outlook","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":257,"taxonomy":"post_tag","description":"","parent":0,"count":19,"filter":"raw"},{"term_id":179,"name":"research","slug":"research","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":179,"taxonomy":"post_tag","description":"","parent":0,"count":25,"filter":"raw"}],"taxonomy_info":{"category":[{"value":37,"label":"Research and Travel Trends"}],"post_tag":[{"value":48,"label":"business travel"},{"value":103,"label":"economy"},{"value":95,"label":"forecast"},{"value":49,"label":"GBTA"},{"value":165,"label":"GBTA Foundation"},{"value":257,"label":"outlook"},{"value":179,"label":"research"}]},"featured_image_src":null,"featured_image_src_square":null,"mfb_rest_fields":["featured_image_src_large","author_info","comment_info","category_info","tag_info","taxonomy_info","featured_image_src","featured_image_src_square"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/905","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=905"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/905\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=905"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=905"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gbta.org\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=905"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}